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League Preview
By Jim Lachimia
NL Central
Armed and Dangerous
Last season, Chicago's bread and
butter was the foursome of Kerry Wood, Mark Prior, Matt Clement and
Carlos Zambrano, all of whom worked at least 200 innings and won at
least 13 games. Now the fifth wheel is some guy named Maddux, who happens
to be a four-time Cy Young Award winner. So when you face the Cubs,
who do you hope is on the mound? Offensively, it's easier to blow fastballs
by Sammy Sosa than it used to be, but it's still fun to watch him try
and hit the darn thing on to Waveland Avenue. Chicago will score more
runs in 2004 with the benefit of full seasons from third baseman Aramis
Ramirez, centerfielder Corey Patterson and newly acquired first baseman
Derek Lee.
On a Championship Quest
A lot of folks assumed the Astros
were packing it in when they traded All-Star closer Billy Wagner not
long after the World Series. That turned out to be a false read when
Houston signed free agent Andy Pettitte and his buddy Roger Clemens.
As long as Octavio Dotel does the job in place of Wagner, this club
will go toe-to-toe with Chicago for the division title. Jeff Kent, Craig
Biggio, Lance Berkman and Richard Hidalgo are all entering the final
year of their contracts. So it may be now or never for the Astros.
Good Hitting and Fielding
Cardinals' broadcaster Mike Shannon
calls Albert Pujols The Machine, and it's not hard to figure out why.
In three seasons, the 24-year-old slugger has hit .334 and averaged
38 homers and 127 RBI. Manager Tony La Russa's line-up also includes
two other 30-HR, 100-RBI men in third baseman Scott Rolen and outfielder
Jim Edmonds. Last season, four Cards, Rolen, Edmonds, shortstop Edgar
Renteria and catcher Mike Matheny, received Gold Gloves, so defense
isn't a problem. The starting rotation is.
Fighting Doom and Gloom
Everyone is predicting doom and
gloom for the Pirates, but here are a few things that could make the
season a lot more palatable: Kris Benson being healthy and pitching
like an ace. Oliver Perez tapping into his enormous potential. Tike
Redman proving the second half of last season wasn't a fluke. Jason
Bay establishing himself as a productive everyday outfielder. Raul Mondesi
providing power and consistency in the middle of the lineup. The bullpen
pitching like it did in 2002. Someone, anyone, stepping up and serving
as an effective closer. Nothing is more damaging to team morale than
blowing late-inning leads.
Hardworking Blue Collar
The Brewers traded first baseman
Richie Sexson, and now with the team for sale, outfielder Geoff Jenkins
could be headed out the door next. But don't discount what's going on
in Milwaukee. The team experienced a 12-game improvement in 2003 under
new manager Ned Yost, who has quietly assembled a hardworking, blue-collar
line-up.There is one huge problem though. Last season, Brewers' starting
pitchers were a disastrous 39-73 with a 5.48 ERA, and basically the
same group is coming back.
Picking Up the Pieces
Cincinnati's first year at the
Great American Ballpark turned out to be an ugly 93-loss campaign. An
abundance of injuries played a role, but the Reds had no real strengths.They
were next-to-last in the NL in team batting and team ERA, and they made
more errors than any team in baseball. It used to be folks wondered
when Ken Griffey Jr. was going to be healthy again. Now they wonder
if it's ever going to happen.
Playoff Contenders
Chicago, Houston and St. Louis
NL
West
The Diamondbacks can jump back
in the driver's seat if Randy Johnson rebounds. The Big Unit and Brandon
Webb will be the top two starters, while Richie Sexson, Luis Gonzalez
and Shea Hillenbrand give the D'Backs three big-time run producers,The
Dodgers' primary need is more offense. Last season, they compiled a
3.16 team ERA, but scored fewer runs than Detroit, The Giants may struggle
to get back to the playoffs. Barry Bonds will get his 45 homers, but
there are questions surrounding the health of pitchers Jason Schmidt
and Robb Nen, The Padres have a chance to claw out of the basement if
slugger Phil Nevin and closer Trevor Hoffman are healthy. Pitcher Jake
Peavy is a star on the rise, Nothing ever seems to change in Colorado.
The Rockies always hit but have trouble getting people out.
Playoff Contenders
Arizona, Los Angeles, San Francisco
NL
East
Phillies' skipper Larry Bowa has
Tim Worrell to set up and Billy Wagner to close for an outstanding starting
rotation. Jim Thome, 47 homers in his first year in Philadelphia, leads
an offense with plenty of wallop, Don't assume the Marlins will get
back to the playoffs. Most pitchers have regular season success before
postseason success, but Josh Beckett did it the other way around. Dontrelle
Willis was 5-5 after the All-Star break. A 20-year-old Miguel Cabrera
batted clean-up in the World Series. You're not supposed to be able
to get away with that, The Braves set franchise records in homers and
runs last season, but don't have Gary Sheffield, Javy Lopez or Vinny
Castilla anymore. The rotation is ordinary after losing Tom Glavine
and Greg Maddux in successive years. All that signals the end of the
Braves' incredible run of postseason appearances, The Expos lost their
best pitcher and best position player when Javier Vazquez and Vladimir
Guerrero became the latest to leave for greener pastures, The Mets have
shown how to spend a lot of money and lose, the opposite of the Yankees.
The addition of Japanese shortstop Kazuo Matsui will help the cause,
but not enough to get into a pennant race.
Playoff Contenders
Philadelphia, Florida and Atlanta Jim
Lachimia spent 14 years in media relations with the Pirates and Kansas
City Royals. He is currently editor of the Pirates' monthly On Deck
magazine.
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