Pittsburgh Sports Report
March 2004

National League Preview
By Jim Lachimia

NL Central

Armed and Dangerous

Last season, Chicago's bread and butter was the foursome of Kerry Wood, Mark Prior, Matt Clement and Carlos Zambrano, all of whom worked at least 200 innings and won at least 13 games. Now the fifth wheel is some guy named Maddux, who happens to be a four-time Cy Young Award winner. So when you face the Cubs, who do you hope is on the mound? Offensively, it's easier to blow fastballs by Sammy Sosa than it used to be, but it's still fun to watch him try and hit the darn thing on to Waveland Avenue. Chicago will score more runs in 2004 with the benefit of full seasons from third baseman Aramis Ramirez, centerfielder Corey Patterson and newly acquired first baseman Derek Lee.

On a Championship Quest

A lot of folks assumed the Astros were packing it in when they traded All-Star closer Billy Wagner not long after the World Series. That turned out to be a false read when Houston signed free agent Andy Pettitte and his buddy Roger Clemens. As long as Octavio Dotel does the job in place of Wagner, this club will go toe-to-toe with Chicago for the division title. Jeff Kent, Craig Biggio, Lance Berkman and Richard Hidalgo are all entering the final year of their contracts. So it may be now or never for the Astros.

Good Hitting and Fielding

Cardinals' broadcaster Mike Shannon calls Albert Pujols The Machine, and it's not hard to figure out why. In three seasons, the 24-year-old slugger has hit .334 and averaged 38 homers and 127 RBI. Manager Tony La Russa's line-up also includes two other 30-HR, 100-RBI men in third baseman Scott Rolen and outfielder Jim Edmonds. Last season, four Cards, Rolen, Edmonds, shortstop Edgar Renteria and catcher Mike Matheny, received Gold Gloves, so defense isn't a problem. The starting rotation is.

Fighting Doom and Gloom

Everyone is predicting doom and gloom for the Pirates, but here are a few things that could make the season a lot more palatable: Kris Benson being healthy and pitching like an ace. Oliver Perez tapping into his enormous potential. Tike Redman proving the second half of last season wasn't a fluke. Jason Bay establishing himself as a productive everyday outfielder. Raul Mondesi providing power and consistency in the middle of the lineup. The bullpen pitching like it did in 2002. Someone, anyone, stepping up and serving as an effective closer. Nothing is more damaging to team morale than blowing late-inning leads.

Hardworking Blue Collar

The Brewers traded first baseman Richie Sexson, and now with the team for sale, outfielder Geoff Jenkins could be headed out the door next. But don't discount what's going on in Milwaukee. The team experienced a 12-game improvement in 2003 under new manager Ned Yost, who has quietly assembled a hardworking, blue-collar line-up.There is one huge problem though. Last season, Brewers' starting pitchers were a disastrous 39-73 with a 5.48 ERA, and basically the same group is coming back.

Picking Up the Pieces

Cincinnati's first year at the Great American Ballpark turned out to be an ugly 93-loss campaign. An abundance of injuries played a role, but the Reds had no real strengths.They were next-to-last in the NL in team batting and team ERA, and they made more errors than any team in baseball. It used to be folks wondered when Ken Griffey Jr. was going to be healthy again. Now they wonder if it's ever going to happen.       

Playoff Contenders
Chicago, Houston and St. Louis


NL West

The Diamondbacks can jump back in the driver's seat if Randy Johnson rebounds. The Big Unit and Brandon Webb will be the top two starters, while Richie Sexson, Luis Gonzalez and Shea Hillenbrand give the D'Backs three big-time run producers,The Dodgers' primary need is more offense. Last season, they compiled a 3.16 team ERA, but scored fewer runs than Detroit, The Giants may struggle to get back to the playoffs. Barry Bonds will get his 45 homers, but there are questions surrounding the health of pitchers Jason Schmidt and Robb Nen, The Padres have a chance to claw out of the basement if slugger Phil Nevin and closer Trevor Hoffman are healthy. Pitcher Jake Peavy is a star on the rise, Nothing ever seems to change in Colorado. The Rockies always hit but have trouble getting people out.

Playoff Contenders
Arizona, Los Angeles, San Francisco


NL East

Phillies' skipper Larry Bowa has Tim Worrell to set up and Billy Wagner to close for an outstanding starting rotation. Jim Thome, 47 homers in his first year in Philadelphia, leads an offense with plenty of wallop, Don't assume the Marlins will get back to the playoffs. Most pitchers have regular season success before postseason success, but Josh Beckett did it the other way around. Dontrelle Willis was 5-5 after the All-Star break. A 20-year-old Miguel Cabrera batted clean-up in the World Series. You're not supposed to be able to get away with that, The Braves set franchise records in homers and runs last season, but don't have Gary Sheffield, Javy Lopez or Vinny Castilla anymore. The rotation is ordinary after losing Tom Glavine and Greg Maddux in successive years. All that signals the end of the Braves' incredible run of postseason appearances, The Expos lost their best pitcher and best position player when Javier Vazquez and Vladimir Guerrero became the latest to leave for greener pastures, The Mets have shown how to spend a lot of money and lose, the opposite of the Yankees. The addition of Japanese shortstop Kazuo Matsui will help the cause, but not enough to get into a pennant race.

Playoff Contenders
Philadelphia, Florida and Atlanta

Jim Lachimia spent 14 years in media relations with the Pirates and Kansas City Royals. He is currently editor of the Pirates' monthly On Deck magazine.


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