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Central Division
By John E. Sacco
1. St. Louis Cardinals - Not the same Cardinals of 2004 and
2005, but they still possess an outstanding offense, the best
starting pitching in the division, and a top closer in Jason Isringhausen.
Any team that runs Albert Pujols, Jim Edmonds, Scott Rolen and
David Eckstein at you is formidable. They brought in OF Juan Encarnacion;
former All-Star Junior Spivey will start at second and promising
OF Larry Bigbie will get a shot. Starters Chris Carpenter, Mark
Mulder, Jeff Suppan and Jason Marquis will be key; the bullpen
took some hits during the off-season and the bench won't be as
reliable. Somehow, though, manager Tony LaRussa will find the
right combinations.
2. Houston Astros - You can't ignore a rotation with Roy Oswalt
and Andy Pettite, and a strong bullpen returns intact. Houston
lacks punch offensively, and only added OF Preston Wilson. However,
they have enough quality players to remain solidly in contention
for a division title or wild card, which it has captured the past
two years. Morgan Ensberg is outstanding at third, OF Lance Berkman
is productive and Craig Biggio is a winner. Phil Garner is an
underrated manager and he'll get the most out of this team, which
would be greatly boosted if Roger Clemens opts against retiring
and returns to the Astros in May.
3. Pittsburgh Pirates - (see Spring
Expectations)
4. Milwaukee Brewers - The Brewers ended their losing-seasons
streak at 12, finishing .500 last year. The next step is post-season,
and while they are a trendy pick, Milwaukee is counting on three
young players in its infield and closer Derek Turnbow to help
the team to the next level in 2006. It might be asking too much.
The starting pitching is solid with Ben Sheets leading the way,
but this team desperately needs another huge offensive performance
by outfielder Carlos Lee. Brady Clark and Geoff Jenkins will again
be needed to help the team pack a solid punch. Prince Fielder
moves in at first, and Cory Koskie at third. Rickie Weeks and
J.J. Hardy are youngsters who join Fielder in the infield. But
Milwaukee might take a step back before taking two more forward
in 2007.
5. Chicago Cubs - The starting pitching is good enough to win
the division, but history suggests something very different. The
Cubs feature a strong starting rotation led by Mark Prior, Kerry
Wood, Carlos Zambrano, Greg Maddux and Glendon Rusch. Chicago
tired of CF Corey Patterson and shipped him out, replaced by gifted
Juan Pierre. In what could be manager Dusty Baker's farewell journey
with the Cubs, they solidified a shaky bullpen by adding Bobby
Howry and Scott Eyre to go along with closer Ryan Dempster, who
converted 33 of 35 opportunities. Corner infielders Derek Lee
and Aramis Ramirez are explosive and free agent OF Jacque Jones
adds excitement. But the Cubs will be the Cubs and Baker will
be looking for a new home in 2007.
6. Cincinnati Reds - When, and only when, the Reds address their
pitching problems will they have a shot at success. Cincinnati,
even without Sean Casey and Joe Randa, has an outstanding offense.
But Adam Dunn, Austin Kearns, Ken Griffey Jr., Willy Mo Pena and
company need help. SS Felipe Lopez and 3B Edwin Encarnacion are
being counted on to add fuel. The Reds are in a state of flux
with a new general manager and ownership, but at least they won't
be boring. They'll score runs, but opponents will score them in
bunches. |